Sensex Option Chain + Price Action Analysis (16 Oct 2025): Smart Money Teji Confirmed!

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

🟢 Sensex Option Chain + Price Action Analysis – 16 Oct 2025 Expiry

CE unwinding at 82,800–83,000 • PE buildup at 82,000–82,800 • PCR ~1.08 (Neutral → Bullish)

Asia/Kolkata • 16 October 2025
Expiry: Near-term

📈 Price Action Summary

Bullish Momentum

Sensex ने 79,500–80,000 zone से sharp recovery की और लगातार higher-lows बनाकर अब 83,000+ पर टिक गया है। RSI (14) 70+, MACD positive, और CCI +100+ — यह साफ़ संकेत है कि short-term bottom बन चुका है और trend upside में है।

📊 Option Chain Data — Smart Money Activity

• 82,000 / 82,500 / 82,800 पर strong Put writing → buyers active.
• 83,000 PE में भी OI add → smart money confident कि नीचे नहीं जाएगा।

Strong base बन चुका है; downside limited है।

• 82,800 / 82,900 / 83,000 CE → Call unwinding शुरू — short covering possible.
• 83,200 CE हल्का हुआ — upside open दिख रहा है।

CE unwinding दिखाता है कि sellers trap हो रहे हैं।

📈 CE–PE Technical Confirmation

CE Side

83,000–83,100 पर buying interest और momentum build हो रहा है (MACD +ve, RSI ~60)। यह clear strength signal है।

PE Side

83,000 PE में weakness (RSI ~29) — unwinding जारी है; downside protection घटा।

Conclusion: CE strength + PE unwind = clear Teji confirmation 📈

🧠 Market Psychology (Expiry Impact)

Expiry के अंतिम घंटों में smart money ने 82,800–83,000 base defend कर लिया है। Call writers trap हैं → short covering blast संभव। अगर 83,100 के ऊपर 30-min candle close मिलता है तो expiry-end rally 83,200–83,400 तक जा सकती है।

🎯 Final Verdict

Verdict: हां भाई, Teji Clear है 🚀 — expiry में fast short covering की संभावना strong है।

• Smart Money: Bullish
• Price Action: Higher-Low + Momentum Positive
• PCR: ~1.08 (Neutral → Bullish)
• Key Trigger: 83,100 के ऊपर 30-min candle close → fast short covering move 83,200–83,400 तक।

💡 Traders के लिए Quick Takeaways

• Expiry probable range: 82,800 – 83,400.
• Strong support cluster: 82,000–82,800.
• Momentum confirmation: RSI > 70, MACD +ve.
• Strategies: defined-risk spreads या expiry short-covering play above 83,100.

📌 Snapshot

Bias: Sideways → Bullish

Most likely expiry close:
83,200 – 83,400

🧭 Key Levels

Support

• 82,000 PE — Heavy OI build-up
• 82,500 PE — Strong layer
• 82,800 PE — Key base support

Resistance

• 83,000 CE — unwinding
• 83,100 CE — light
• 83,200 CE — ceiling zone

⚡ Trade Signals

• Put writing heavy at base → bullish base intact.
• Call unwinding → short covering setup active.
• Watch 83,100 → breakout confirmation level.

❓ Quick FAQ

Q: क्या downside खतरा खत्म?
A: Base 82,800–83,000 पर है; जब तक ये zone hold करता है, downside limited है।

Q: Expiry कहाँ हो सकती है?
A: 83,200–83,400 zone में expiry होने की संभावना अधिक है।

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