NIFTY Expiry Day Strategy — Option Chain Data + Price Action Signal (20 Oct 2025) | Short Covering Active ⚡

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

🧠 NIFTY LIVE ANALYSIS — CMP 25,875 | EXPIRY DAY 20 OCT 2025

Strong Put writing at 25,700–25,800 • Call unwinding at 25,900–26,000 • PCR 1.12 (Bullish Bias)

NSE | 20 Oct 2025
Expiry: Today

🔹 1️⃣ PRICE ACTION (Main Chart)

• ✅ Nifty ने 25,400 से rally लेकर अब तक 25,900 तक sustain किया है।
• ✅ Structure अभी भी Higher-High + Higher-Low का है।
• ✅ RSI (5-min) = 64.6 → strong buying pressure।
• ✅ CCI = +88.9 → buyers active हैं।
• ✅ MACD positive crossover → momentum intact।

मतलब: Market steady bullish trend में है; 25,800 base confirm है। जब तक 25,800 के नीचे closing नहीं आती → trend bullish रहेगा।

🔹 2️⃣ OPTION CHAIN (Smart Money Data)

📈 Put Side (Support Zones):

• 25,700 PE – heavy OI writing ✅
• 25,800 PE – fresh writing आज भी जारी ✅
• 25,900 PE – buildup visible ⚡ (smart money upside defend कर रहा है)

📉 Call Side (Resistance Zones):

• 25,900 CE – unwinding जारी ⚡
• 26,000 CE – shorts exit → call writers डर रहे हैं 😬

📊 PCR = ~1.12 → Bullish Bias Confirmed.

Interpretation: Strong support zone = 25,700–25,800 | Minor resistance = 26,000–26,050 | Smart money expiry को upper band में settle कराना चाहता है।

🔹 3️⃣ CE–PE Chart Confirmation (25,900 Strike)

• 📈 25,900 CE → RSI recovery + volume spike → short covering active।
• 📉 25,900 PE → continuous unwinding → sellers confident कि नीचे नहीं जाएगा।

Conclusion: PE unwinding + CE recovery = Short Covering Move Active 🔥

🔹 4️⃣ MARKET PSYCHOLOGY (Expiry Dynamics)

⏰ Expiry में सिर्फ़ कुछ घंटे बचे हैं, और call writers trap हो चुके हैं 25,800–25,900 zone में।

💡 Smart money expiry को 25,900–26,000 zone में close करना चाहेगा ताकि PE writers का premium expire हो जाए और CE में covering का फायदा मिले।

🎯 EXPECTED EXPIRY RANGE — 20 OCT 2025

Scenario	Range	Probability
⚡ Bullish Expiry (Short Covering)	25,900 – 26,050	65%
⚖️ Neutral (Rangebound)	25,820 – 25,900	25%
🔻 Weak Close (Profit Booking)	25,750 – 25,800	10%

Most Probable Close: ✅ 25,900 – 26,000 Zone (Bullish Bias Active)

✅ Final Verdict

हाँ भाई, 26,000 Touch Possible है 🚀

Factor	Status
Price Action	🔼 Bullish
RSI	64+ → Strong
MACD	Positive
CE–PE Data	CE Unwinding + PE Writing
PCR	1.12 → Bullish

🎯 Expiry Expectation:
🔹 Nifty likely close between 25,900 – 26,000
🔹 Intraday spike possible till 26,050 if short covering continues ⚡

📌 Snapshot

CMP: 25,875
Bias: Bullish

🧭 Key Levels

Support

• 25,700 PE – Heavy OI
• 25,800 PE – Active writing

Resistance

• 25,900 CE – Unwinding
• 26,000 CE – Short Exit

⚡ Trade Setup

• Above 25,900 → momentum breakout zone.
• Below 25,800 → profit booking trigger.
• Bias remains bullish till 25,800 holds.

❓ Quick FAQ

Q: क्या expiry bullish रहेगी?
A: हाँ, जब तक 25,800 hold करता है — trend bullish रहेगा।

Q: क्या 26,000 possible है?
A: हाँ, short covering से 26,000 touch probable है 🚀

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