📊 Sensex Option Chain Analysis: आज की Expiry पर Big Players की Strategy और One-Side Trend

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

📊 Option Chain Analysis — Expiry Day: Big Players' Strategy & One-Side Trend (79,800 – 80,800)

Heavy Put writing at 79,700–80,000 (support) • Massive Call walls at 80,800–81,000 (resistance)

Asia/Kolkata • 1 October 2025
Expiry: Near-term

🔎 Quick Summary

PUT SIDE (Bullish) CALL SIDE (Bearish)

Key view: Sideways to Bullish. Strong multi-layered support between 79,700–80,000. Ultra-strong resistance (expiry ceiling) at 80,800–81,000. Most probable expiry closing range: 80,500–80,700 if market holds above 80,200.

✅ Put Side — Support / Bullish Activity

• 80,000 PE → OI ≈ 1.91 Cr — Strongest base.
• 79,800 PE → OI ≈ 1.80 Cr — 2nd strong layer.
• 79,700 PE → OI ≈ 1.51 Cr — additional support.

नीचे 79,700–79,800–80,000 पर heavy put writing दिख रही है — बड़े players नीचे support create कर रहे हैं।

❌ Call Side — Resistance / Bearish Activity

• 80,500 CE → OI ≈ 32 Lakh — medium resistance.
• 80,600 CE → OI ≈ 90 Lakh — strong resistance.
• 80,800 CE → OI ≈ 3.05 Cr — major wall (expiry).
• 81,000 CE → OI ≈ 3.22 Cr — ultra-strong resistance.

ऊपर 80,600–80,800–81,000 पर heavy call writing है — ये expiry की techo/ceiling बन गई है।

📍 Big Player Activity — Interpretation

Put-side में heavy buying (79,800–80,000 के नीचे) → Bulls की मजबूत पकड़। Call-side में सबसे बड़ी दीवार 80,800–81,000 पर → ऊपर जाना मुश्किल।

Probable Lower Range

79,700 — 80,000 (major support cluster)

Probable Upper Range

80,800 — 81,000 (major resistance / expiry ceiling)

📊 Expiry Probability & Scenarios

Scenario A — Bullish / Sideways:

If index holds above 80,200 → expiry most likely in 80,500–80,700 zone (buyers dominate near support).

Scenario B — Downside Pressure:

If sudden heavy selling pushes below 80,000, sustaining levels below that will be difficult because of concentrated put OI acting as magnet for buyers (support flip likely short-lived).

🎯 One-Side Trend — Final View

बड़े players ने 80,000 और 79,800 PE में positions लेकर नीचे strong base बना लिया है — इसलिए expiry-day का bias Sideways to Bullish है। सबसे probable closing: 80,500–80,700.

📝 Traders के लिए Quick Takeaways

• Expiry probable range: 79,800 – 80,800.
• Strong support cluster: 79,700–80,000 (heavy Put OI).
• Major resistance wall: 80,800–81,000 (massive Call OI).
• Preferred strategies: range plays, defined-risk debit spreads, या conservative iron condor around expected expiry range.

📌 Snapshot

Bias: Sideways → Bullish

Most likely expiry close:
80,500 – 80,700

🧭 Key Levels

Support

80,000 PE — OI ~1.91 Cr

79,800 PE — OI ~1.80 Cr

79,700 PE — OI ~1.51 Cr

Resistance

80,500 CE — OI ~32 Lakh

80,600 CE — OI ~90 Lakh

80,800 CE — OI ~3.05 Cr

81,000 CE — OI ~3.22 Cr

⚡ Trade Signals

• Put writing heavy at support → bulls hedged / accumulating.
• Call writing heavy at 80,800+ → sellers establishing ceiling.
• Watch 80,200 intraday close — key decision line.

❓ Quick FAQ

Q: Heavy Put Writing का मतलब क्या?
A: दिखाता है कि बड़े खिलाड़ी नीचे support मान रहे हैं और downside सीमित मान रहे हैं।

Q: क्या expiry 81,000 के ऊपर जा सकती है?
A: कम संभावना — वहाँ ultra-strong call walls मौजूद हैं।

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