“Traders Alert: Nifty Below 25,550 — Smart Money Hints at Bearish Expiry Setup”

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

⚔️ NIFTY 50 @ 25,520 — Smart Money Indicates Bearish Expiry Bias Below 25,550 ⚠️

Expiry: 11 Nov 2025 (Today) • View: Full-Day till Close
Updated: 11 Nov, 9:49 AM IST • Expected Range: 25,350 – 25,600

• NIFTY Expiry-Settlement View

🧩 1️⃣ Price Structure & Technical Trend(spot)

🔹 30-Min Chart

• RSI: 40.36 → weak momentum
• CCI: −104 → negative bias
• MACD: bearish crossover (−0.2 vs 12.7)
• ADX: 24 → trend strength rising

Interpretation: 25,600–25,700 supply; lower-highs intact → expiry-day weakness tilt.

🔹 5-Min Chart

• RSI: 16.7 → oversold (no reversal)
• CCI: −172 → deep bearish
• MACD: −28 vs −18 → continuation
• ADX: 23 → bears active

Interpretation: हर bounce sell → expiry drift downside.

🔹 4-Hour Chart

• RSI: 42 (below midline)
• CCI: −85 → weak momentum
• MACD: −22 vs +25 → bearish cross
• ADX: 28 → sellers in control

Interpretation: 25,700–25,800 supply ceiling; expiry drag toward 25,300–25,400 possible.

💰 2️⃣ Option Chain Analysis (11 Nov 2025)

Strike	CE OI	ΔOI (CE)	PE OI	ΔOI (PE)	Interpretation
25,400	2.88L	+25K	1.5L	−63K	CE buildup → Resistance
25,450	2.99L	+30K	1.58L	−52K	CE buildup
25,500	4.68L	+25K	3.5L	+38K	⚔️ Battle Zone
25,550	2.85L	+23K	3.9L	+17K	Slight put support
25,600	3.07L	+16K	3.3L	+29K	Equilibrium zone
25,650	3.17L	+15K	2.8L	+15K	Limited upside
25,700	1.71L	+8K	2.9L	+17K	Resistance rising
25,800	1.93L	+47K	2.9L	+12K	Heavy call writing

📈 Total CE OI > Total PE OI • PCR ≈ 0.84 → Bearish bias confirmed

🧠 Smart Money Positioning Insight

• Call Writers: 25,500–25,800 पर aggressive; 25,600 & 25,800 पर heavy writing → expiry cap. 25,550+ को strongly defend कर रहे हैं।
• Put Writers: 25,300–25,400 पर light addition; lower strikes में unwinding → downside open till 25,300.

Conclusion: Smart money puts → calls shift. Expect close < 25,550. CE decay & PE firmness validate sentiment.

📊 3️⃣ Option Chart Signals

• NIFTY 25,500 CE: RSI 16, MACD −22, ADX 43 → strong downtrend → continuous unwinding.
• NIFTY 25,500 PE: RSI 80, CCI +212, MACD bullish → PE buyers dominant → downside sentiment confirmed.

🧭 4️⃣ Expiry Settlement View (11 Nov 2025)

Session	Bias	Likely Zone	Action
Morning	Mild pullback	25,520–25,550	CE shorting zone
Midday	Sideways → Down	25,450–25,400	Accumulate 25,500 PE
Expiry Close	Bearish drift	25,350–25,450	Expected settlement range

🎯 Expiry-Day Trading Plan

Instrument	Action	Entry Range	Target	Stop Loss
25,500 PE	Buy / Hold	40–45	70–85	25
25,500 CE	Avoid / Sell on bounce	60–65	40–50	80
Spot NIFTY	—	—	Close: 25,350–25,450	25,600

📑 Technical Summary

• 🧭 Smart Money Bias: Bearish
• 💥 Expiry Resistance: 25,550–25,600
• 🧱 Expiry Support: 25,350–25,400
• 📉 Settlement Expectation: Below 25,500 (likely 25,420 ±30 pts)

💬 Quick Takeaway

CE side heavy writing at 25,500–25,800 → upside cap. PE buildup limited (defensive) → slow downside drift expected. RSI + MACD on all frames confirm bearish bias. Expiry drift zone: 25,350–25,450.

📌 Snapshot

Bias: Bearish Expiry Bias

Range: 25,350 – 25,600

🧭 Key Zones

Support

• 25,400 — First line
• 25,350 — Settlement floor

Resistance

• 25,550 — Make-or-break
• 25,600–25,700 — Call wall

⚡ Indicators Snapshot

• RSI(30m): 40 → weak
• RSI(5m): 16.7 → oversold (no reversal)
• RSI(4h): 42 → below midline
• MACD: Bearish on 30m & 4h
• CCI: −104 (30m), −172 (5m), −85 (4h)

❓ FAQ

Q: क्या 25,600 reclaim होगा?
A: केवल strong covering पर; otherwise sell-on-rise below 25,550.

Q: Best expiry trade?
A: 25,500 PE (40–45) with SL 25; add on 25,500 rejection.

Q: Risk?
A: Intraday short squeeze risk near 25,520–25,550; strict SLs रखें।

⚠️ Disclaimer / सूचना:

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