💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।
📊 Sensex @ 83,650 — “Rangebound with Bearish Bias, 83,500 Crucial Support ⚠️”
CE stack: 84,000–84,400 • Working range 83,500–84,100
🔹 1️⃣ Sensex Spot / Futures View
Sensex ने पिछले कुछ sessions में steady गिरावट के बाद आज 83,600–83,700 के आसपास हल्की recovery दिखाई है। RSI और MACD में base formation के संकेत हैं, लेकिन trend अभी भी कमजोर है।
- RSI (5m) ≈ 53 → short-term bounce intact.
- RSI (30m) ≈ 41 → अभी भी neutral to weak zone में।
- MACD (30m) negative, momentum recovery possible near 83,500 support.
- ADX (30m) ~40 → trend strength high लेकिन दिशा अभी bearish.
Takeaway: जब तक Sensex 83,500 के ऊपर टिकता है, short-covering rally 83,900–84,100 तक extend हो सकती है। 83,450 नीचे breakdown zone होगा।
🔹 2️⃣ Option Chain — CE vs PE (06 Nov)
- CE buildup zones: 84,000–84,400 पर strong call writing, जिससे upside cap बना हुआ है।
- PE unwind: 83,500–83,700 strikes पर heavy unwinding, जिससे downside vulnerability दिखती है।
- Max Pain: 83,800 — expiry settlement के लिए magnet zone।
Meaning: अगर index 83,900–84,100 से ऊपर close नहीं कर पाया, तो expiry flat-to-negative रहने की संभावना है।
🔹 3️⃣ Option Chain Pivot Levels
| Strike | Call OI | Put OI | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83,500 | Moderate | Unwind | Crucial Support Zone |
| 83,800 | Moderate | Flat | Neutral zone / max pain |
| 84,000 | Heavy CE | Weak | Immediate Resistance |
| 84,400 | High CE | Thin | Expiry Ceiling |
📊 Bias: Mildly Bearish → Rangebound. Upside limited till 84,000–84,400, downside risk active below 83,500.
🎯 Intraday Levels (Expiry Day Outlook)
| Type | Level | Plan |
|---|---|---|
| Resistance 1 | 83,900 | Scalp shorts / profit booking |
| Resistance 2 | 84,100–84,400 | Expiry ceiling area |
| Support 1 | 83,600 | Intraday base zone |
| Support 2 | 83,450–83,300 | Breakdown below = 83,000 test |
🧭 Option Trades View
- Short 84,000CE with hedge above 84,400 — expiry drift play.
- Scalp long 83,500PE if price breaks below 83,450 with volume.
- Buy 83,500CE only if breakout above 84,000 with RSI > 55 on 15m chart.
🧠 Quick Summary (Invest India Academy View)
📉 Sensex अभी भी short-term pressure में है। 83,500 main support है — इसके नीचे slide से 83,000 तक गिरावट हो सकती है। अगर 83,900 reclaim होता है, तो expiry flat-to-slight-green possible। Volatility low है, इसलिए option buyers को quick profit booking करनी चाहिए।
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