Friday, 21 November 2025

NIFTY Short-Term Outlook: CE Strong, PE Weak — Smart Money का साफ संकेत

🐂 NIFTY 26071 (spot) — Controlled Bullish: Next 2 Days — Buy-on-dips | Multi-TF & Option Chain View

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

🐂📊 NIFTY Spot Cmp 26070 — Controlled Bullish (Next 1–2 Days) — Buy on Dips

Multi-TF + Option-Chain View • Updated: Expiry Week
View: Next 2 Days (1H control) • Core Pitch: Buy-on-dips till 25,950 holds
Derivatives Outlook • NIFTY Short-Term

🔹 1️⃣ MULTI–TIMEFRAME PRICE TREND ANALYSIS

🔸 (A) NIFTY — 1-Hour Chart (Short-Term Controller)

  • RSI: 58–63 → Strong bullish
  • CCI: +48 to +70 → Positive momentum
  • MACD: 68 / 65 → Bullish continuation
  • ADX: 25–29 → Active trend (bullish bias)

1H Interpretation: Intraday → short-term पूरी तरह bullish। हर dip पर buying सक्रिय है। 26,000 के नीचे कोई clean breakdown नहीं दिख रहा — अगले 1–2 दिन 1H chart ट्रेंड नियंत्रित करेगा।

🔸 (B) NIFTY — 4-Hour Chart (Directional TF)

  • RSI: 61 → Strong
  • CCI: +109 → Trend intact
  • MACD: 113 / 88 → Strong upward slope
  • ADX: 29.8 → Healthy trend

4H Interpretation: Medium-term trend clean bullish. No bearish divergence; higher-lows maintained. Major swing support: 25,950–26,000.

🔸 (C) NIFTY — Daily Chart (Macro)

  • RSI: 63–64 → Macro bullish
  • CCI: +123 → Strong positive
  • MACD: 173 / 155 → Strong macro uptrend
  • ADX: 19–21 → Trend active

Daily Interpretation: Macro structure bullish — कोई reversal संकेत नहीं। Market फिलहाल expansion mode में है; अगले 2 दिनों में macro tone positive→neutral रहेगा।

🔥 2️⃣ OPTIONS CHART ANALYSIS SUMMARY (26100 CE/PE)

📉 PUT — 26100 PE (1H + 15m)

  • RSI: 37 → Weak
  • CCI: −66 to −129 → Weak
  • MACD: Bearish continuation
  • ADX: 18–28 → Trend weak

PE Interpretation: कोई strength नहीं — bounce छोटा होगा। PE side को “SELL on rise” consider करें।

📈 CALL — 26100 CE (1H + 15m)

  • RSI: 40–50 → Neutral→Positive
  • CCI: −10 to −30 → Cooling but bullish intact
  • MACD: Above signal → Bullish
  • ADX: 22–33 → Trend strength present

CE Interpretation: Correction सिर्फ profit-booking है; CE अभी stronger है — dips पर CE buying वापस आएगी।

📊 3️⃣ OPTION CHAIN ANALYSIS (Uploaded Chain)

TypeStrike(s)OI (approx)Role
CALL Walls26,200152K OIMajor wall / Resistance
CALL Walls26,30089K OISecondary wall
CALL Walls26,40029K OIUpper pressure
PUT Supports26,00091K OIStrong base
PUT Supports25,90090K OISecondary base
PUT Supports25,80057K OILast defence

📌 OI Interpretation: Support band 26,000–25,950. Resistance band 26,200–26,250. PCR ≈ 0.76 → neutral-to-bullish. Put side strong — गिरावट control में; call side pressure caps upside near 26,220–26,250.

🧠 4️⃣ SMART MONEY POSITIONING

  • CE writers: 26,200–26,300 पर wall बना कर upside रोकने का प्रयास कर रहे हैं — पर downside को aggressively push नहीं कर रहे।
  • PE writers: 26,000 पर मजबूत defense; 25,900 पर backup support मौजूद है।

Smart Money Bias: Bullish-to-Neutral — साइडवेज़ के साथ upside bias; trade plan = buy-on-dips.

🧭 TECHNICAL SUMMARY

  • ✔ 1H → Bullish
  • ✔ 4H → Bullish
  • ✔ Daily → Macro bullish
  • ✔ Support → 26,000–25,950
  • ✔ Resistance → 26,200–26,250
  • ✔ Trend → Buy-on-dips only (till 25,950 holds)

🏁 FINAL CONCLUSION

⚔️ NIFTY Next 2 Days = Controlled Bullish Market (26,000 से ऊपर) — 1H + 4H + Daily तीनों alignment bullish हैं; option chain भी support दिखा रहा है। Put writers 26,000 defend कर रहे हैं; call writers upside cap कर रहे हैं। गिरावट retracement है, reversal नहीं।

🎯 Expected 2-Day Settlement Range: 26,120 – 26,180 • Upside wick possible → 26,230 – 26,250

⚠️ यह market-structure based view है — financial advice नहीं। Risk management और position sizing का ध्यान रखें।

#NIFTY #Options #BuyOnDips #CallWall #PutWall #shankarpawar999

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