MIDCPNIFTY Option Chain Breakdown: Call Writers का दबदबा, Support कहां टिकेगा?

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⚔️ MIDCPNIFTY @ 13,960 — Neutral-to-Mild Bearish

View: • Updated: 19 Nov, 09:42 AM IST
Active Range: 13,850 – 14,050

https://shankarpawar999.blogspot.com/ • MIDCPNIFTY Outlook

🔹 1️⃣ MIDCPNIFTY Spot Trend Overview (Multi-Timeframe Technicals)

🕔 5-Min Chart (Neutral-to-Mild Bullish Recovery)

• RSI (14): 51.20 → Neutral, slight recovery
• CCI (20): 35.34 → Mild positive momentum
• MACD: −4.35 vs −7.38 → Weak bearish but flattening
• ADX: 28 → Trend mild; +DI slightly above −DI

Interpretation: Intraday selling के बाद 13,900 पर strong wick rejection हुई — downside exhaustion दिख रही है पर 5-min momentum अभी weak है।

🕒 30-Min Chart (Sideways Structure)

• RSI: 50.81 → Neutral
• CCI: −62 → Negative but improving
• MACD: 6.33 vs 13.61 → Weak bullish crossover but flat
• ADX: 17 → Weak trend

Interpretation: 30-min पर price साफ़ तौर पर sideways है — neither strong selling nor buying. 13,900–14,000 intraday decision zone बना हुआ है।

🕓 4-Hour Chart (Medium-Term Strong Uptrend Intact)

• RSI: 68 → Bullish
• CCI: 70 → Positive momentum
• MACD: 152 vs 146 → Stable bullish
• ADX: 32 → Strong trend active

Interpretation: 4-hour trend अभी भी strong bullish है। Previous higher-low 13,850–13,900 major support बना हुआ है — जब तक यह hold है mid-term bullish रहेगा।

🔹 2️⃣ Option Chain Analysis — MIDCPNIFTY (25 Nov Expiry)

Strike (CE)	CE OI	ΔOI	Interpretation
14,000 CE	10,027	+1,547	Major call wall
13,950 CE	3,168	+4,388	Strong writers active
14,100 CE	4,779	+251	Secondary resistance
14,125–14,200 CE	2k–3k	Mixed	Light resistance

Strike (PE)	PE OI	ΔOI	Interpretation
13,900 PE	4,776	−693	Strong put base (profit booking but heavy)
13,850 PE	6,919	−1,490	Very strong support
13,825 PE	328	−100	Minor support
13,950 PE	5,242	+1,177	Rising support

📊 PCR ≈ 0.85 → Bearish-to-Neutral (Writers defending upper side)

Smart Money Insight: 14,000 CE पर बहुत heavy call writing — upside cap near 14,000–14,050. वहीं 13,850 PE पर बड़ा put base है — downside protected. 13,900 PE में कुछ unwinding दिखा पर structure अभी भी strong है।

🔹 3️⃣ Option Chart Observations

🔸 MIDCPNIFTY 13,900 PE (5m + 15m)

• RSI: 46–48 → Neutral
• CCI: −3 to −38 → Flat negative
• MACD: −0.46 to +1.19 → Weak
• ADX: 13–21 → Weak trend

Interpretation: PE side में कोई clear strength नहीं; sellers active — पर put base 13,850–13,900 downside को limit करेगा。

🔸 MIDCPNIFTY 13,900 CE (5m + 15m)

• RSI: 38–41 → Weak
• CCI: −67 to −130 → Negative
• MACD: −8 to −10 → Bearish continuation
• ADX: 20–31 → Moderate trend, −DI dominant

Interpretation: CE weak — writers dominate. CE में strength तभी आएगी जब spot 13,980–14,000 reclaim करे।

🎯 Projected Targets

Instrument	Entry Range	Target	Stop Loss
MIDCPNIFTY Spot	13,900–13,925	13,980–14,020	13,850

🔹 5️⃣ Technical Summary

Indicator	Observation	Bias
RSI	All TF ~50–68	Neutral to bullish
CCI	Mixed	Neutral
MACD	Bullish on 4h, weak intraday	Mixed
ADX	28–32 on HTF	Trend stable
Option Chain	14k call wall strong	Upside capped
Price Structure	Higher lows on HTF	Bullish HTF, sideways LTF

Smart Money Bias Summary: Buyers defend 13,900–13,850; call writers active around 14,000–14,050. Expiry-week behaviour likely rangebound with selling pressure at the top side.

🧠 FINAL CONCLUSION — MIDCPNIFTY

📉 Bias: Neutral-to-mild bearish
📌 Resistance: 13,980–14,050
📌 Support: 13,900–13,850
📌 Expected Range: 13,850–14,000
📌 Smart Money: Call writers strong at 14,000; Put writers defending 13,850

📌 Snapshot

Bias: Neutral-to-Mild Bearish

Range: 13,850 – 14,050

🧭 Key Zones

Support

• 13,850 — Major put base
• 13,900 — Intraday rejection

Resistance

• 13,980 — Near term
• 14,000–14,050 — Major call wall
• 14,200 — Secondary

⚡ Indicators Snapshot

• 5m RSI: ~51 → neutral
• 30m RSI: ~50 → sideways
• 4H RSI: 68 → bullish HTF
• ADX: 28–32 → HTF trend stable

❓ FAQ

Q: क्या MIDCPNIFTY 14,050 cross कर सकता है?
A: Unlikely without breach of 14,000 CE wall and clear HTF momentum.

Q: Range क्या रहेगा?
A: 13,850–14,000 expected.

Q: Option bias क्या बता रहा है?
A: PCR ~0.85 → writers defending upper side; neutral-to-bearish top-side bias.

#MIDCPNIFTY #Options #ExpiryWeek #14kCallWall #MarketOutlook #shankarpawar999

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