Friday, 24 October 2025

FINNIFTY Analysis — “SELL the RISE” Strategy Working | RSI Weak, MACD Negative, PCR 0.78 📉

📊 🎯 FINNIFTY ANALYSIS (CMP ≈ 27,470 | Expiry 28 Oct) — “SELL on Rise” Setup Active | Bearish to Sideways Bias

💡 Note: This analysis is based on AI-powered models and is shared for educational & informational purpose only. यहाँ दिए गए “Buy/Sell” या “Target” signals AI-generated insights हैं — ये किसी प्रकार की personal investment advice नहीं है।

📊 🎯 FINNIFTY ANALYSIS — 24 Oct 2025 (CMP ≈ 27,470) | Expiry: 28 Oct

Option Chain + Price Action — RSI weak, MACD negative, PCR ~0.78. “SELL on Rise” setup active.
Asia/Kolkata • 24 October 2025
Expiry: 28 Oct 2025

🔹 1️⃣ SPOT CHART (30-Minute View)

IndicatorReadingView
RSI(14)36 → WeakBears in control
CCI(20)-123 → OversoldShort-term oversold but no reversal yet
MACD-42 < -42 (flat negative)Still weak
ADX29 → Mildly trendingWeak but directional move possible

📍 Spot chart साफ़ बता रहा है कि Finnifty एक weak retracement phase में है। 27,400–27,500 पर support बन रहा है, लेकिन buying momentum missing है। 27,700–27,800 पर strong resistance zone है जो बार-बार profit booking दे रहा है।

🔹 2️⃣ OPTION CHAIN SNAPSHOT (CMP ≈ 27,470)

StrikeCE OI ChangePE OI ChangeView
27,300Mild CE addStrong PE addSupport emerging
27,400+281+280Neutral zone
27,500+742+421Major battle zone
27,600+1.4kPE unwindResistance confirmed
27,700+1.7kPE exitHeavy ceiling
27,800+2.1kPE unwindMajor resistance ceiling

📊 PCR ≈ 0.78 → Bearish bias. Strong CE buildup at 27,600–27,800 while PE writers defend 27,400–27,500.

🔹 3️⃣ CE / PE CHART INSIGHT

🔴 27,500 CE
  • RSI = 35
  • CCI = -63
  • MACD = Negative crossover

📍 Weakness बरकरार → CE में short build-up active.

🟢 27,500 PE
  • RSI = 53
  • MACD = Slightly positive

📍 कुछ buying दिखी है पर strength half-formed — support base around 27,400–27,450।

🔹 4️⃣ INTRADAY LEVELS (24 OCT)

TypeLevelView
Support 127,420Intraday base
Support 227,300Breakdown zone
Resistance 127,600First ceiling
Resistance 227,750Major expiry wall

📍 जब तक FINNIFTY 27,600 के ऊपर sustain नहीं करता, trend intraday में bearish रहेगा।

🔹 5️⃣ MOMENTUM & VOLUME SIGNALS

  • ADX (35.8) → Downside bias
  • +DI (12.6) < -DI (32.9) → Sellers stronger
  • CE volume > PE volume → Writers bearish
  • IV flat → Expiry pinning likely

📍 Clear indication: Market sideways → mildly bearish; expiry bias “bear controlled”.

🔹 7️⃣ EXPIRY PROJECTION (28 OCT)

ScenarioRangeProbability
⚖️ Sideways27,300 – 27,60055%
🔻 Mildly bearish27,200 – 27,40030%
🚀 Short-cover27,600 – 27,75015%

📍 Expected expiry zone → 27,400–27,550

✅ FINAL VERDICT — “SELL ON RISE” DAY (Weak Expiry Setup)

FactorObservation
RSI36 (weak)
CCI-123 (oversold but weak)
MACDNegative crossover
PCR0.78 (bearish tilt)
CE Writing27,600–27,800 heavy
PE Writing27,400–27,500 active
TrendBearish bias

📍 Conclusion:
आज के लिए Finnifty में “SELL on rise” setup active है। Intraday support 27,400–27,450 रहेगा, resistance 27,600–27,750 zone में। अगर 27,400 टूटता है → अगला target 27,250–27,200 तक खुल जाएगा।

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